Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000274 0.000307 0.000343 0.000385 0.000432 0.000484 0.000545
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000212 0.000259 0.000314 0.000385 0.000472 0.000578 0.000717
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000172 0.000224 0.000289 0.000377 0.000496 0.000650 0.000867
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000150 0.000204 0.000277 0.000382 0.000531 0.000737 0.001047
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000133 0.000189 0.000267 0.000385 0.000562 0.000820 0.001229
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000113 0.000167 0.000245 0.000368 0.000560 0.000852 0.001339
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000103 0.000157 0.000238 0.000370 0.000585 0.000927 0.001525
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000097 0.000153 0.000240 0.000386 0.000634 0.001045 0.001797
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000088 0.000141 0.000228 0.000378 0.000642 0.001095 0.001958
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000128 0.000211 0.000360 0.000629 0.001108 0.002053
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000123 0.000207 0.000364 0.000657 0.001194 0.002296
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000122 0.000211 0.000382 0.000710 0.001334 0.002665
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000114 0.000203 0.000376 0.000720 0.001397 0.002892
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000108 0.000197 0.000375 0.000740 0.001481 0.003183
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000101 0.000188 0.000368 0.000746 0.001537 0.003420
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000098 0.000186 0.000373 0.000777 0.001652 0.003809
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000094 0.000183 0.000376 0.000805 0.001763 0.004209
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000086 0.000171 0.000359 0.000787 0.001768 0.004350
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000083 0.000168 0.000361 0.000812 0.001874 0.004765
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000083 0.000171 0.000377 0.000870 0.002071 0.005457
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000038 0.000078 0.000164 0.000369 0.000872 0.002126 0.005771
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000072 0.000154 0.000351 0.000846 0.002110 0.005881
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000033 0.000070 0.000152 0.000355 0.000877 0.002244 0.006454